Will the supreme court be majority-women in 2040?
12
Ṁ1kṀ2482040
21%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the count of justices at the end of January 1st, 2040. If there's a tie then this resolves to 50%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
40% chance
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
36% chance
In what year will the USA supreme Court be half or majority women?
2046
Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
70% chance
When will the US Supreme Court first have more women than men?
Will the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040?
40% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
15% chance
Will the next Chief Justice of the United States be a woman?
38% chance
Will the number of seats on the Supreme Court be increased from 9 between now and 2030?
17% chance
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
16% chance