Will Blue Origin ever be worth more than SpaceX before 2040?
9
220Ṁ4942040
29%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
When either company is private, it is at my discretion to evaluate each company’s net worth based on the best available evidence. If there is no definitive evidence that Blue Origin has or hasn’t exceeded SpaceX, I will not resolve the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Blue Origin worth more than SpaceX by EOY 2026?
8% chance
Will SpaceX be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?
45% chance
When will SpaceX be more valuable than Tesla?
When will Blue Origin reach orbit?
2025
Will Blue Origin beat SpaceX to land safely on the moon?
85% chance
Will SpaceX or Blue Origin conduct or be contracted to conduct a private lunar landing before 2035?
73% chance
Will SpaceX IPO before the end of 2026?
65% chance
Will SpaceX reach $10T?
14% chance
Will SpaceX reach $3T?
68% chance
SpaceX and XAI worth combined $20 trillion by 2030?
8% chance