Will a Russian cosmonaut fly on SpaceX's Crew-5 mission?

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Ṁ100Ṁ292

resolved Oct 5

Resolved

YES

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This question resolves YES if anyone who is a citizen of Russia reaches orbit in SpaceX's Crew Dragon in the Crew-5 mission. This is currently planned to happen but political tensions make it uncertain. See https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/06/nasa-still-pushing-for-a-russian-cosmonaut-to-fly-on-next-spacex-mission/ for context. If Crew-5 is cancelled, delayed beyond the end of 2022, or fails to reach orbit, this question resolves NO.

Close date updated to 2022-10-04 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2022-10-05 11:59 pm

Oct 4, 11:49pm: Removed "currently scheduled for September" from description. It was never a requirement of the market that it happen in September, merely a description of the schedule at market creation time.

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@Multicore Anna Kikina of Russia is aboard, resolves YES

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Launch delayed again to october 5

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Updated close date to after current expected launch date.

I think this market is way undervalued at this point.

Looking pretty good https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/07/its-official-a-russian-cosmonaut-will-fly-on-crew-dragon-this-fall/

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