Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
10
100Ṁ3232026
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
People have to be on it during launch for this to resolve Yes.
The current plan is Yes, but there's a lot of questions about the safety after the first flight didn't fly with life support and found quite a number of new problems.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Edit: oh right this market is Orion not Starliner
If Starliner never launches again I guess it resolves N/A ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Oh uh my bad confused this market with a Starliner market. I guess the question is quite valid for Starliner atm too.
I do actually expect Orion to fly again, moreso than Starliner. But yes same applies to Orion.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2027?
63% chance
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
31% chance
Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
61% chance
Will Orion dock with Starship in LEO before 2028?
58% chance
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
52% chance
Will Artemis 2 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2028?
75% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2026?
4% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2029?
86% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?