Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
24
1kṀ16942035
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX announce a revised timeline for its first crewed Mars mission before August 25, 2025?
58% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
24% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
33% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?
67% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2030?
9% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?
77% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
73% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
61% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
9% chance