When will Boeing fly humans on Starliner? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
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Ṁ7242
resolved Jun 5
100%99.0%
1st half 2024
0.5%
Q3 2024
0.1%
Q4 2024
0.4%
Not in 2024

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

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#Space
#Rockets
#Starliner
#Everyday Astronaut Predictions
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https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/2024/05/07/nasas-boeing-crew-flight-test-targets-new-launch-date/

bought Ṁ10 NO

Tuesday May 7th: No Attempt Today (Small window)

  • Other Launch Attempt Windows

    • Friday May 10th : (If Valve issue is fixable without replacing)

    • Saturday May 11th : (If Valve issue is fixable without replacing)

    • Tuesday or Wednesday May 14th/15th : (If Valve has reached operational limit)

Launch stream is live https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wb3qcR2tUQs

@Multicore scrubbed

Still on track for May https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/04/all-the-pieces-are-in-place-for-the-first-crew-flight-of-boeings-starliner/

Schedule slipped to May https://spacenews.com/iss-schedule-conflicts-delay-starliner-crewed-test-flight-to-may/

Are we including test flights or just missions?

@stationtostation I interpret it as including test flights.

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