
When will Boeing fly humans on Starliner? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
24
1kṀ7242resolved Jun 5
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
1st half 2024
0.5%
Q3 2024
0.1%
Q4 2024
0.4%
Not in 2024
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Sort by:
Tuesday May 7th: No Attempt Today (Small window)
Other Launch Attempt Windows
Friday May 10th : (If Valve issue is fixable without replacing)
Saturday May 11th : (If Valve issue is fixable without replacing)
Tuesday or Wednesday May 14th/15th : (If Valve has reached operational limit)
Schedule slipped to May https://spacenews.com/iss-schedule-conflicts-delay-starliner-crewed-test-flight-to-may/
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Related questions
Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?
2% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
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3% chance
Will any of the next four Starliner flights be crewed?
53% chance
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Will Starship make daily intercontinental flights by 2050?
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