What's the furthest milestone we'll see Rocket Lab achieve with their Neutron rocket? (Everyday Astronaut 2024)
SpaceRocketsEveryday Astronaut Predictions
Mini
6
Ṁ120
Jan 1
15%
Static Fire
11%
Full Integration WDR
13%
Launch
61%
None of the above

Note: I modified the options for this one, turning "Fullscale archimedes test" into "None of the above". The original poll options seemed like they didn't cover the case of none of those milestones being achieved.

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

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They did the fullscale Archimedes test from the original poll https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240808926407/en/Rocket-Lab-Completes-Successful-First-Hot-Fire-of-Archimedes-Engine-for-Neutron-Rocket

But we're still in "None of the above" territory as this market is constructed.

Ever? Before the program is cancelled?

@EvanDaniel it's an 'in 2024' question series

Everyday Astronaut's poll also has a "Fullscale Archimedes test" option and no "None of the above"

@dp9000 The original options seemed underspecified in the case where none of the milestones were achieved. Updated the description to note this.

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