What % of Petrov Day will elapse before someone uses the big red button to take down Less Wrong's frontpage?
43
400Ṁ5991
resolved Sep 27
Resolved
N/A

See https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KTEciTeFwL2tTujZk/lw-petrov-day-2022-monday-9-26

This year the pool of users who can use the button expands over time.

Resolves YES if the frontpage is never taken down, otherwise resolves PROB to the percentage of time elapsed between the start of the event (3am UTC) and 24 hours later (3am UTC on the 27th) at the time the frontpage is taken down.

Original market:

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy