Will "Introducing Open Asteroid Impact" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
7
Ṁ2232026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Introducing Open Asteroid Impact is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Against Almost Every Theory of Impact of Inte..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
59% chance
Will "Constellations are Younger than Continents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Priors and Prejudice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Timaeus's First Four Months" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "OpenAI: The Battle of the Board" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance