Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US? | Manifold

Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

Basic

5

Ṁ102

2030

26%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

That is, in 2030, will Chinese chip companies offer commercial/enterprise GPUs for sale flops/$ performance within 20% of peak flops/$ of any commercial/enterprise GPU sold by non-Chinese companies?

Conditioning on no doom, of course.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?

Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

Related questions

By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?

Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

In which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?

Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?

Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?

Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules