Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?
29
Ṁ1kṀ12kresolved May 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
credit for the idea goes to Sentinel Global Risks:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ566 | |
| 2 | Ṁ184 | |
| 3 | Ṁ67 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ45 |
People are also trading
NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?
19% chance
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?
11% chance
how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026
340k
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
13% chance
How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
China produces 3nm chips before 2027?
36% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
61% chance
Will CUDA remain a monopoly for GPU software through 2027?
57% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?
19% chance
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?
11% chance
how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026
340k
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
13% chance
How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
China produces 3nm chips before 2027?
36% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
61% chance
Will CUDA remain a monopoly for GPU software through 2027?
57% chance