GeorgeVii avatar
closes Dec 31, 2039
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
61%
chance

Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945

Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.

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MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ10 of YES

I assume this is at market exchange rates, not purchasing power parity?

DrewSpartz avatar
Drew Spartz
bought Ṁ10 of NO

Unlikely the way the CCP is focusing on control vs economic growth. They've already killed more than 1 100+ billion dollar industry if it doesn't fit with their goals.

GeorgeVii avatar