Will the US permit China to buy B200 chips before the end of 2025?
8
Ṁ1kṀ3.2kresolved Jan 13
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
After letting China legally purchase H20s, AI Czar David Sacks has doubled down on export controls not working. Today (8/6/25) he retweeted an article claiming that export restrictions have failed. Will he and Trump
end them entirely?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ555 | |
| 2 | Ṁ125 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nvidia be permitted to sell its Blackwell chips (B30A, B300, etc.) directly to China, before May 2026?
11% chance
Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
96% chance
Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?
42% chance
Will China deploy domestic EUV sub-7nm chips for major tech by EOY 2026?
7% chance
how many H200s will China purchase by EOY 2026
1.4m
NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?
46% chance
China produces 3nm chips before 2027?
39% chance
China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
51% chance
how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026
430k