Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
5
25
แน103แน90
2030
26%
chance
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That is, in 2030, will Chinese chip companies offer commercial/enterprise GPUs for sale flops/$ performance within 20% of peak flops/$ of any commercial/enterprise GPU sold by non-Chinese companies?
Conditioning on no doom, of course.
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