In the next 12 months will a Hollywood grade production make use of generative AI for visual effects?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k
Oct 30
90%
chance

Must be used for the visual effects during the storyline and not before or after e.g.(intro, credits). Thanks @Broseph

Market context
AI
Technical AI Timelines
AI Safety
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
27% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
10% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
24% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
52% chance
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
65% chance
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
10% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
34% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
Will a generative AI model be able to make a movie from a novel before the end of 2027?
58% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 YES

State of AI report says YES, is this enough for early resolution? @MrOkand

Didn’t this already happen with Secret Invasion?

@Broseph I looked into it and they used it for the credits. That was also finished airing in July.

@Boogie They used it for the opening sequence of the show. Seems like it would qualify, but if not, I suggest adding a description to clarify your resolution terms.

People are also trading

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
27% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
10% chance
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
24% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
52% chance
Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
65% chance
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
10% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
34% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69% chance
Will a generative AI model be able to make a movie from a novel before the end of 2027?
58% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy