Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?
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sold Ṁ55 NO

selling my shares as it seems likely they will never pause - but the criteria is a bit vague.

bought Ṁ10 NO

oh this is another one of those markets that can't ever resolve NO. pointless. I'll just take my -M1 loss then and forget about it

@Pykess Changed question to 2035

Rana G soldṀ10NO

Does it have to be unilateral or can they be forced by regulator?

Will this resolve NO if we reach the close date without Anthropic having paused?

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Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least six months as a result of safety evaluations?
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58% chance
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21% chance
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3% chance
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17% chance
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3% chance
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
93% chance
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5% chance
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