Anthropic relocates by the end of 2027?
27
Ṁ1kṀ3.2k2028
21%
Anthropic announces a new primary AI research hub outside the United States
20%
Anthropic publicly states that the U.S. political environement is a reason for expanding operations outside the United States
17%
Anthropic publicly states that U.S. regulation is a reason for expanding operations outside the United States
7%
CEO of Anthropic relocates their primary office outside the United States
6%
Anthropic announces that its primary headquarters is outside the United States
5%
Anthropic relocates majority of its research team to a non-U.S. location
5%
Anthropic hires a non-U.S. based CEO or co-CEO
4%
Anthropic becomes legally incorporated outside the United States
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Anthropic 2028 revenue [old buckets]
Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?
64% chance
Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?
90% chance
Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
5% chance
Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2026
Anthropic 'falls behind' by July 2026?
8% chance
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?
89% chance
Will @LivGorton end up at Anthropic by end of 2026?
95% chance
Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?
20% chance
Sort by:
They now have offices in: USA, UK, Ireland, Switzerland, France, Germany, Japan, India, and South Korea. Most (perhaps all) are in the capital cities of those countries.
@2b3o4o should be clear. For the sake of formalizing I'd say if any of the following is true, this should be sufficient:
Anthropic publicly describes the new office as the primary research hub (currently it is SF)
Majority of research executives relocate there
People are also trading
Related questions
Anthropic 2028 revenue [old buckets]
Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?
64% chance
Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?
90% chance
Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
5% chance
Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2026
Anthropic 'falls behind' by July 2026?
8% chance
Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?
89% chance
Will @LivGorton end up at Anthropic by end of 2026?
95% chance
Will Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?
20% chance