Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?
11
33
Ṁ268Ṁ300
2050
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?
33% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI collaborate substantially on a research paper before 2025?
51% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
44% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least a year as a result of safety evaluations?
29% chance
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?
74% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
29% chance
Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?
42% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, pause development for at least six months as a result of safety evaluations?
44% chance
Will AI decide to uncouple its destiny from humanity's?
[Metaculus] Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic announce a pause on large training runs for safety reasons, before 2026?
17% chance