Will Chandrayaan-4 succeed in returning samples from the moon? | Manifold

Will Chandrayaan-4 succeed in returning samples from the moon?

9

Ṁ150Ṁ169

2028

45%

chance

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If samples are returned safely to Earth, this market resolves Yes.
If Chandrayaan-4 is changed to no longer attempt a return, this will resolve No.
If the Chandrayaan-4 program is officially cancelled, this will resolve No.

Let me know if you think of other conditions or edge cases I should clarify.

Market context

Space exploration

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