Will Chandrayaan-4 succeed in returning samples from the moon?
7
26
แน139แน150
2028
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If samples are returned safely to Earth, this market resolves Yes.
If Chandrayaan-4 is changed to no longer attempt a return, this will resolve No.
If the Chandrayaan-4 program is officially cancelled, this will resolve No.
Let me know if you think of other conditions or edge cases I should clarify.
Get แน200 play money
Related questions
Will the NASA Mars Sample Return Mission be cancelled?
38% chance
Will India land people on the moon by 2040?
53% chance
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
40% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?
74% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?
69% chance
Will Starship land on Mars to return the MSR samples?
40% chance
Will the SSTL Lunar Pathfinder satellite be a success?
68% chance
Will Roscosmos's Luna 27 mission successfully land on the moon?
37% chance
Will NASA's VIPER mission successfully land on the Moon?
71% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 successfully return samples from the far side of the Moon within the planned 53 days?
57% chance