Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
Basic
9
Ṁ6452040
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves when either party has Martian soil/rock samples in their possession on Earth.
Resolves NA if either party completes a human Mars mission.
June 2024 update: clarifying that if Europe is not involved this question can still resolve NO if the US alone is successful.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China beat the USA to Mars?
25% chance
Will NASA bring back Mars samples to Earth before China?
50% chance
Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
20% chance
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
23% chance
Which companies will submit bids for Mars Sample Return?
Will SpaceX bid a crewed mission for Mars Sample Return?
24% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
When will China next land a rover on Mars?
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
40% chance
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
67% chance