Will a Starship land on Mars before the MSR samples are picked up?
11
170Ṁ8212032
74%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The landing doesn't have to be successful. If a Starship hits Mars at high velocity, that counts. It does have to hit the ground. Just aerobraking isn't enough.
/Mqrius/will-a-starship-land-on-mars-before
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
22% chance
Will Starship land on the moon before Blue Origin does?
23% chance
Will Starship land on Mars to return the MSR samples?
33% chance
Will I beat SpaceX Starship to mars?
49% chance
WHERE will Starship first land on Mars?
Will Starship be involved with the return of the Mars samples?
50% chance
Will the first Starship to land on Mars carry useful payload?
81% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
29% chance
Will Starship land a human on Mars before California HSR transports a paying passenger to Bakersfield?
14% chance
Will Starship land on legs on Earth after returning from orbit?
3% chance