Will a Starship land on Mars before the MSR samples are picked up?
8
85
170
2032
66%
chance

The landing doesn't have to be successful. If a Starship hits Mars at high velocity, that counts. It does have to hit the ground. Just aerobraking isn't enough.

/Mqrius/will-a-starship-land-on-mars-before

/Mqrius/will-starship-be-involved-with-the

/Mqrius/will-starship-land-on-mars-to-retur

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 of NO

Apollo used small detachable lander so that the return-to-earth fuel and hardware can stay in orbit and not make the wasteful round trip to the surface. Apparently musk forgot this when designing starship?

predicts YES

@JonathanRay You can still do that with Starship, you just use a second one or a depot. That's one of the ways in which you can do a Mars landing quite soon without needing any in-situ propellant generation. If they finish the tech to land on the moon, they pretty much have the tech ready to land on Mars too, assuming they have boiloff mitigation done as well.

Yes, it'll require more launches, but that's not a technical problem, just a financial one. With Starship being designed for cheap mass production and cheap launches, the financial problem is not as problematic as it seems either.