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MANIFOLD
Prediction markets will rapidly grow once it's easy (for inebriated idiots) to make (dumb) bets for entertainment
8
Ṁ100Ṁ98
resolved Apr 13
Resolved as
53%
competing for reputation and play money is much less engaging than shitposting with money at stake Mar 5, 11:53am: the more dumb money in the market, the more incentive for smart money to clean up aka "price discovery"/ "efficiency" Mar 5, 11:53am: see: sports betting Mar 5, 11:59am: resolving at market price upon closing... i think that should be automatic default. Mar 5, 11:59am: @Gurkenglas, yes, you can buy M$, but you can't sell it....
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Isn't it already easy, on this very website?
They can already turn their US$ into M$, yes? What are you criteria for resolving?