Prediction markets become incorporated into apps and services where they previously were not

This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, prediction markets become incorporated into at least three major consumer-facing apps or services that did not previously offer prediction market functionality. Examples include: integration into existing financial platforms (e.g., banking apps, investment apps), social media platforms, news/media apps, or other mainstream consumer applications.

Resolution will be determined by verifiable announcements from the companies involved or credible reporting from major financial/tech news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, TechCrunch, etc.) confirming the integration of prediction market functionality into these platforms.

Background

Prediction markets have emerged as one of the biggest financial trends of the year, fueled by regulatory clarity and rising demand for real-time speculation.

Prediction markets are projected to evolve from trading platforms into AI-integrated decision-support infrastructure, driving enterprise adoption, long-horizon forecasting, and real-time consensus. Prediction markets are evolving from experimental products into more durable financial infrastructure, with rising notional volumes and deeper liquidity as signs that these markets are increasingly being used for information discovery and risk transfer.