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Why did I doubt her this morning?

@NicoDelon To be fair, she didn’t rise much Desantis just cratered

@Molari not withering is the challenge in these races

@NicoDelon The other polls I looked at had her below Desantis, but this one just happened to have her above

Resolves YES @Molari https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2023-national-poll-trump-making-inroads-with-young-voters-against-biden-maintains-majority-support-in-republican-primary/

@cc6 make sure to download the file

The prediction here ~50% looks very optimistic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries#/media/File:Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries.svg

@ArekStryjski It’s only one poll, and in the most recent fox poll she was pretty close

@Molari The Fox poll is only conducted once a month and this resolves by Nov. 1 so when polls that have them close are conducted is a factor not to be ignored.

@Molari I thought Wikipedia aggregated many polls, but of course, does not change the fact that one of them could show very different results.

This started out in the 30s and has moved way higher than I expected