If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?
Basic
9
Ṁ4382200
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves N/A if Isaac is unable to resolve his market by 2200, or if the market is resolved fraudulently or before the advent of AGI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's success market resolve to "none of the above"?
59% chance
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?
29% chance
If AI wipes out humanity, will it resolve applicable markets correctly?
40% chance
Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?
33% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
40% chance
If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will Manifold Markets be operational?
53% chance
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?