@MartinRandall As I read it, it means AGI assimilates human culture to a tragic degree.

People are uncertain about AI doom but 75% confident that Yudkowsky will do it for the lulz.

ISTM it's likely we all die before EY gets the chance to log on to Manifold and resolve the market.

How does this market resolve if that one doesn't resolve N/A?

@IsaacKing Oh, I didn't see that one of the responses covers that.

@IsaacKing I will take a brief break from luxuriating in 20% of max attainable value to realize that I'm in an impossible thought experiment set up to test my integrity, put down my ultra-chocolate, and carefully resolve this market to the correct answer to demonstrate my counterfactual integrity to the larger universe that is simulating me, thus slightly increasing my expected returns in the larger universe. And then I'll go back to the ultra-chocolate.