Resolves YES if, on or before December 4, 2026, the White House, USTR, Treasury, Commerce, MOFCOM, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs or the State Council has officially announced that the US-China trade arrangement agreed at Busan on October 30, 2025 (as extended to January 10, 2027) continues beyond January 10, 2027. A later end date, an open-ended continuation, or a signed agreement that replaces the arrangement all count. Resolves NO otherwise.

An agreement in principle, remarks that an extension is expected, anonymous-source press reports and state-media commentary do not count. Extending a single measure counts only if the announcing government presents it as extending the overall arrangement.

Sources, in priority order: MOFCOM press releases and spokesperson remarks (english.mofcom.gov.cn); White House briefings and statements; USTR press releases; US Treasury press releases; PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs press conferences (fmprc.gov.cn). Press reports are used only to locate these statements.