US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?
2
1kṀ12092028
30%
<= 10%
27%
(10, 25] %
25%
(25, 50] %
6%
(75, 10] %
6%
(100, 150] %
6%
>150%
(x, y] here means x < tariff percentage <= y. (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_(mathematics))
10.1 would resolve (10, 25] %
Exactly 10% would resolve [0, 10]
Please let me know if you have any confusions/notice edge cases in this operationalization.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
Will the US and China achieve a deal for 0% reciprocal tariffs by the end of 2025
8% chance
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
11.5
US tariffs on foreign films by EOY2025?
3% chance
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2027?
US lowers tariffs on India before February 19, 2026?
35% chance
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-3.0
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?
58% chance