US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2027?
3
Ṁ1kṀ1k2027
30%
<= 10%
26%
(10, 25] %
21%
(25, 50] %
12%
(75, 100] %
7%
(100, 150] %
4%
>150%
(x, y] here means x < tariff percentage <= y. (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_(mathematics))
10.1 would resolve (10, 25] %
Exactly 10% would resolve [0, 10]
Please let me know if you have any confusions/notice edge cases in this operationalization.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2028?
US lowers tariffs on India before February 19, 2026?
23% chance
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
12.6
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
China escalates to U.S.-specific ban on tungsten products by Mar 31, 2026?
30% chance
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-1.1
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?
55% chance