Will China restrict exports of arsenic trichloride or gallium arsenide on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1Dec 31
80%
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Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement scoped exactly to arsenic trichloride, HS 2812191010, or gallium arsenide and indium gallium arsenide under items 3C001.e and 3C001.f. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
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