Will China restrict exports of cadmium telluride on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1Dec 31
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement scoped exactly to cadmium telluride, cadmium zinc telluride, or mercury cadmium telluride under item 6C002.b. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of arsenic trichloride or gallium arsenide on December 31, 2026?
80% chance
Will China restrict exports of praseodymium on December 31, 2027?
68% chance
Will China restrict exports of ytterbium on December 31, 2026?
54% chance
Will China restrict exports of vanadium pentoxide or ferrovanadium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of low-hafnium zirconium oxychloride on December 31, 2026?
79% chance
Will China's October 2025 export controls on lithium battery materials be in effect on December 31, 2026?
48% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
27% chance
Will China restrict exports of tellurium on December 31, 2026?
72% chance