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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of scandium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
Dec 31
79%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China MOFCOM export licensing requirements on scandium are actively enforced. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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