Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?
Plus
12
Ṁ720Dec 31
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@harfe Yes, the model can be used in any way, just no external information. For example, calling the model 1000 times and then using the model itself to aggregate its own prediction is also allowed.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
60% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
9% chance
By the end of Q1 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
66% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
60% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against GM by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
43% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against World Champion by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
18% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
21% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance