This market evaluates whether OpenAI's models will reach a ≥90% performance on SimpleBench, a benchmark assessing AI's proficiency in fundamental tasks, by the end of 2025. This aligns with CEO Sam Altman's recent prediction that models will saturate benchmarks by the end of 2025.

Check the benchmark website and leaderboard:

https://simple-bench.com/

Check the video where AI Explained sent the challenge:

https://youtu.be/tGsBJhMbiIU?si=TtH3c6P72mhxeMn7

Check another similar market:

https://manifold.markets/HenryGeorge/will-any-model-get-above-human-leve