Election turnout percent in San Francisco 2024-03-05 (resolve to bucket)
San Francisco 2024-03-05 Election•San Francisco•San Francisco March 2024 Election
7
65
Ṁ680
resolved Mar 27
100%92%
[45%, 50%)
0.6%
[0%, 30%)
0.8%
[30%, 35%)
1.0%
[35%, 40%)
1.0%
[40%, 45%)
0.6%
[50%, 55%)
0.8%
[55%, 60%)
0.9%
[60%, 65%)
0.7%
[65%, 70%)
0.6%
[70%, 75%)
0.6%
[75%, 80%)
0.6%
[80%, 100%]

As of 2024-03-01, election turnout is at 13%, which is lower than usual. This market will resolve to the turnout percentage in San Francisco. If the turnout is 60%, this market will resolve to [60%, 65%).

In the San Francisco Elections dashboard, I will take the ratio of Accepted ballots over Issued ballots.

I believe all votes should be counted by 2 weeks after the election, 2024-03-19. The market may resolve earlier or later than that time if the Department of Elections has certified the final results.

Historical turnout comparison:

https://www.sfelections.org/tools/election_data/index.php

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Final results: Turnout at 46.61% https://sfelections.org/results/20240305w/

No ballots left to count. Voter turnout at 46.58%. The Department of Elections will certify results by April 4.

https://sfelections.org/results/20240305w/index.html

bought Ṁ10 [45%, 50%) YES

@MikeChenSF https://sfelections.org/results/20240305w/index.html

Some rough charts of current turnout and historical turnout

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