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MANIFOLD
Confirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ16
Dec 31
27%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one laboratory-confirmed case of Ebola virus disease (EVD) is reported in North America (defined as the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, or the Antilles) by a national public health authority (e.g., the CDC in the United States, the Public Health Agency of Canada, the Secretariat of Health in Mexico, etc.) before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.

If no such case is confirmed by the specified deadline, the market will resolve to "No." Cases that are suspected but not confirmed by official government health agencies do not count as a resolution for "Yes."

Market context
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Does this include folks evacuated to quarantine within the US?