Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of (suspected) deaths from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).

https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic

If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.

The "Other" category means any deaths total larger than the current buckets. I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).

I will not bet in this market, so as to remain objective if there is gray area in determining the most accurate deaths number.

For a market on the case count total: https://manifold.markets/bens/2026-ebola-epidemic-case-count