Resolution criteria
This market resolves based on the total amount of money donated to charity by end of 2030 that originated from Anthropic wealth. This includes:
Founder/employee donations: Money donated by individuals who accumulated wealth through Anthropic equity
Company matching donations: Funds donated by Anthropic itself through its matching program
To count, the money has to come from equity, not wages.
Background
Anthropic's cofounders have pledged to donate 80% of their wealth (https://fortune.com/2026/01/27/anthropic-billionaire-cofounders-ceo-dario-amodei-giving-away-80-percent-of-wealth-fighting-inequality-ai-revolution/). In addition, Anthropic offers 3:1 donation matching on employee equity.
The timing of these donations is especially relevant given that Anthropic's leaders expect to build AGI within 1–5 years. How much of these promised donations will materialize by the end of 2030?
1,000