What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)
23
1.4kṀ3212
2027
5%
<$25 billion
3%
$25–50 billion
13%
$50–100 billion
37%
$100–200 billion
33%
$200–400 billion
7%
$400–800 billion
1.4%
$800 billion – $1.6 trillion
0.4%
$1.6–3.2 trillion
0.2%
>$3.2 trillion

Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).

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