Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.1kṀ15k

2027

0.2%

<100B

0.2%

100B - 200B

0.2%

200B - 300B

0.9%

300B - 400B

0.6%

400B - 500B

1.1%

500B - 600B

1.3%

600B - 700B

1.1%

700B - 800B

1.2%

800B - 900B

15%

900B - 1T

78%

Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

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Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

80% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2026

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

52% chance

Anthropic 2026 revenue

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026

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OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic 2027 peak valuation [old buckets]

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Made a related question: What will be the valuation of Anthropic at IPO?

Greater than a trillion.

@jim @Bayesian do you now regret having such small buckets?

@jim yes yes yes

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Will Anthropic surpass OpenAI valuation in 2026?

80% chance

Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2026

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

+8% 1d52% chance

Anthropic 2026 revenue

Anthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026

OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026

OpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026

Anthropic 2027 peak valuation [old buckets]

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