Anthropic 2026 peak valuation [old buckets]

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.1kṀ20k

Jan 1

0.1%

<100B

0.1%

100B - 200B

0.1%

200B - 300B

0.1%

300B - 400B

0.1%

400B - 500B

0.1%

500B - 600B

0.1%

600B - 700B

0.1%

700B - 800B

0.1%

800B - 900B

10%

900B - 1T

89%

Other

Resolves to a consensus of reliable sources. Secondary market transactions are not used to determine the valuation. Buckets are left-inclusive.

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I can't believe I was optimistic on this question and still underestimated it.

@JoshSnider ikr

Made a related question: What will be the valuation of Anthropic at IPO?

Greater than a trillion.

@jim @Bayesian do you now regret having such small buckets?

@jim yes yes yes

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Anthropic peak market cap in 2026?

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+7% 1d56% chance

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Anthropic highest valuation by end of June 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027

Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027

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Anthropic above 20T valuation on June 14 2027

4% chance

Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027

11% chance

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