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MANIFOLD
When will Anthropic surpass 30B revenue run rate?
19
Ṁ3kṀ15k
Dec 31
April 7, 2026
31%
Before Apr 2026

  • Update 2026-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve based on any credible reported number (not necessarily from Anthropic directly)

    • Markets will stay open until numbers for the relevant period are reported (e.g., a 'Before April' market will not resolve No until at least the first revenue number for a month after March is reported)

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Demand from Claude customers has accelerated in 2026. Our run-rate revenue has now surpassed $30 billion—up from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025.

https://www.anthropic.com/news/google-broadcom-partnership-compute

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

@Simon74fe can resolve now!

That was fast!

does it need to be reported by anthropic? will the market stay open for example at the end of march until we find out what anthropic's revenue run rate was during march?

@2b3o4o Will resolve based on any credible number. And yes, markets will stay open to wait for numbers. E.g., ‘Before April’ market will not resolve No until at least the first number for a month after March is reported

Before May is a fun coin flip 🥺