Will chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2026)

In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)

Will China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?

Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?

Will the US implement a policy to track and license cutting-edge chips in large clusters by 2028?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?