Will a infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?
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From https://metaculus.com/questions/17179/infrastructure-disaster-from-ai-before-2025/

As more of the world's infrastructure has major digital components, cyberattacks have the potential to become more common and lead to bigger disasters. None, however, have been directly attributed to AI systems. Non-AI cyberattacks on infrastructure include:

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