Will Elon Musk be the first trillionare ? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk be the first trillionare ?

Plus

73

Ṁ14k

2033

61%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve as yes with in the month if his net worth hits 1 trillion USD (paper value).

End date is August 15th 2033 ... if no one/anyone else other than Elon (Satoshi doesn't count) becomes a trillionare this will resolve to no.

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Related: https://manifold.markets/robotnik/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1?r=cm9ib3RuaWs

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

48% chance. Resolution Criteria - (1) Major publication of record reporting - NYTimes / Financial Times / Wall Street Journal / Etc (2) Should it be mathmatically demonstrable (ie, shares reported in latest SC 13G/A multiplied by current stock price, etc) (3) Elon's Death - Upon his death if to that point the market has not resolved 'YES' already, it will resolve 'NO'.

Does this market end in a month or in 2033?

@asmith 2033 August 15th is the end date tentatively.

And if noone becomes a trillionare?

@LightLawliet by August 15th 2033 if no one/anyone else other than Elon (Satoshi doesn't count) becomes a trillionare this will resolve to no.

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