Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Question

Resolution Criteria -

(1) Major publication of record reporting - NYTimes / Financial Times / Wall Street Journal / Etc

(2) Should it be mathmatically demonstrable (ie, shares reported in latest SC 13G/A multiplied by current stock price, etc)

(3) Elon's Death - Upon his death if to that point the market has not resolved 'YES' already, it will resolve 'NO'.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 85% chance (112 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).