Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if at any point before January 1, 2027, Elon Musk's net worth is officially reported or displayed at $2.00 trillion ($2,000,000,000,000) or more by either of the following primary trackers:
Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List (forbes.com/real-time-billionaires)
Bloomberg Billionaires Index (bloomberg.com/billionaires)
If his recorded net worth on both trackers remains strictly below $2.00 trillion at all times prior to January 1, 2027, the market will resolve to NO.
Additional Details:
Intraday peaks recorded on Forbes' real-time tracking or daily close updates on Bloomberg's index are both valid for a YES resolution.
If both tracking platforms cease operations or become permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on a consensus of major financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Forbes, Reuters, CNBC, or The Wall Street Journal).
Background
Following the initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX on June 12, 2026, Elon Musk became the world's first official paper trillionaire. Fueled by SpaceX’s market debut and his stakes in Tesla, xAI, and other ventures, Musk's net worth reached an all-time peak of $1.45 trillion on June 16, 2026. Following a subsequent market correction in late June 2026, his wealth adjusted to approximately $1.1 trillion. This market estimates whether his total net worth will rebound and surpass the $2 trillion threshold before the end of 2026.
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1,000