Will Elon Musk be the world's wealthiest person on January 1, 2027?
9
1kṀ1761Dec 31
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person according to the Forbes Billionaires List on January 1, 2027?
To resolve yes, Elon must be listed as the worlds wealthiest person on the Forbes real-time billionaires list at 12pm pst on January 1, 2026.
https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/
Only this date will be checked. If he drops in the interim and returns to #1 this will still resolve to yes.
If the Forbes list no longer exists, this Bloomberg list will be used. https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/
If neither exist it will resolve to my best judgement after consultation with the Manifold userbase and several trusted market creators.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?
75% chance
Will Elon Musk be the first trillionare ?
78% chance
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
77% chance
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?
48% chance
Will Elon Musk's wealth reach $1 trillion by 2026?
40% chance
Will Elon Musk be the richest person on the planet when he passes away?
26% chance
Will Elon Musk die a billionaire?
95% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
17% chance
Will Elon Musk's net worth fall below $100 billion before 2030?
13% chance
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
88% chance