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MANIFOLD
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
84
Ṁ1.3kṀ26k
resolved Jul 10
100%99.8%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Jeff Bezos
0.0%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Bill Gates
0.0%
Sam Bankman-Fried
0.0%
Bernard Arnault
0.0%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
Austin Chen
0.0%
Mark Zuckerburg
0.0%
Larry Ellison
0.0%
Dario Amodei
0.0%
Demis Hassabis
0.0%
Vitalik Buterin
0.0%
Peter Thiel
0.0%
Paul Graham
0.0%
Michael Saylor
0.0%
Satoshi Nakamoto
0.0%
Jensen Huang
0.1%Other

Denoted in nominal USD. (They don't have to actually own that amount of USD, that's just the conversion rate.)

This market will only resolve to the exact name of a specific person. Non-specific or pseudonymous descriptions like "the first person to invent reliable fusion energy" or "Satoshi Nakamoto" will be ignored. Duplicate answers will be ignored.

If the person in question shares finances with family members, such as how Bernard Arnault's fortune is often listed under "Bernard Arnault and family", that still counts as one person. If a significant fraction of the fortune comes from more than one person, such as two $500 billionaires getting wealthy independently and then marrying each other, it only counts if they seem to truly share finances, such that either one of them has access to the full trillion if they wanted it.

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@IsaacKing Can this and other markets resolve?

@mods Please resolve. Isaac doesn't resolve any of his trillionaire markets and doesn't explain why, even though he seems to be using the platform daily.

This should resolve

Add Jensen Huang?

@Ronan You can add answers yourself

bought Ṁ2 YES

Nice market

if anyone wants to buy my NO shares at 5% with a limit order lmk

(ty isaac!)

Tomek K 🟡 boughtṀ211 YES

@itsTomekK what do you know haha

@TheBayesian what year is it now?

@itsTomekK 2023 afaik