When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby
Plus
10
Ṁ12982026
15%
In 2024
83%
In or after 2025
57%
In or after 2030
45%
In or after 2040
27%
In or after 2050
This will resolve YES if the killing is deemed intentional to attack a specific person by someone not involved in law enforcement. Random attacks, accidents or bombs do not count. The creator, operator or programmer does not need to be found or known to resolve YES. Includes any machine, robot or drone. The device can be remotely controlled but the operator can not be within visual line of sight of the attack.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
30% chance
A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
38% chance
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
39% chance
Will a fully autonomous AI-powered US military drone kill a human being without express human direction before 2025?
20% chance
When will the first AI Mind Reading technology be used in a legal or policing context?
2033
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?
42% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will there be an attempt of murder of an OpenAI employee due to AI repulsion before 2050?
41% chance
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
25% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030?
24% chance